This week, the Milwaukee Bucks sent Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bobby Portis to the Miami Heat for Tyler Herro, Kel’el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakučionis, the No. 13 pick in the 2026 NBA Draft, two future first-round picks, a 2030 first-round pick swap, and a future second-round pick.
The Heat hope that adding a two-time NBA MVP alongside Bam Adebayo will give them a clearer path toward contending in the Eastern Conference. However, one NBA analyst isn’t buying it.
Nick Wright Predicts the New-Look Miami Heat Offense Will Struggle
In landing Antetokounmpo, Miami gains a No. 1 option who, when healthy, can dominate in the post and finish strong at the rim. Meanwhile, on defense, the 31-year-old alters shots and protects the rim while providing a physical presence in the paint. Still, FS1’s Nick Wright doesn’t seem particularly enthusiastic about the move.
“I think they are going to be a mediocre offense, and they are going to be a bad shooting team…” Wright said. “For Giannis’ career in Miami, pick which door you think is more likely: he wins a championship [or] never makes a Conference Finals. To me, that is clear-cut that door No. 2 is more likely.”
He said that the only saving grace for Miami’s offense will be Antetokounmpo averaging an efficient 30 points per night. Last year, he averaged 27.6 points per game on 62.4% shooting from the field.
“For Giannis’ career in Miami, pick which door you think is more likely: he wins a championship [or] never makes a Conference Finals. To me, that is clear-cut that door No. 2 is more likely,” Wright said.
“I’m stunned that Giannis is good with this, and I’m even more stunned that Vegas is as optimistic as they are,” he added later.
According to DraftKings, the Heat have the fifth-best odds to win the NBA title, and the only Eastern Conference teams ahead of them are the Boston Celtics and reigning champion New York Knicks.
Miami is now at the first apron of the salary cap. Salary cap analyst Yossi Gozlan states that, before any subsequent trades, the team has $18.1 million to spend on four roster spots.
Miami chose to mortgage its future for Antetokounmpo, but do they have enough to compete for a championship?
