Those deeply ingrained in the dynasty fantasy football world know there is no true offseason, and following the NFL Draft and schedule release, we have nearly all the information available to gain a better picture of the rookie landscape as minicamps continue.
2023 Dynasty Superflex Rookie Rankings | 1-10
1) Anthony Richardson, QB, Indianapolis Colts
Anthony Richardson has the highest ceiling of any QB in this class. He’s a big QB (6’4″ and 244 pounds) who can scramble with the best of them. But he does so in a physical manner while having the speed to run away from defenders.
His NFL Combine numbers alone make fantasy managers and NFL GMs alike drool: 4.43 40-yard dash (1.53 10-yard split), 40.5″ vertical, and 10’9″ broad, giving him a perfect 10.00 RAS. If his progression, maturation, and situation all align, it’s within his range of outcomes to be a Cam Newton-level player.
Fitting it into the right window can be hit or miss, especially when flighting it over the underneath coverage. Also, his deep ball lacks consistency, which can be due to a combination of footwork and trajectory. But when it clicks, it’s magical.
The fact he got top-four draft capital is all I needed to see and was the final missing piece of the evaluation. Indianapolis is arguably the second-best landing spot outside of Detroit for Richardson. He has massive bodies to target in Michael Pittman Jr., Jelani Woods, and Alec Pierce. Plus, Richardson will flow perfectly in Shane Steichen’s RPO schemes with Jonathan Taylor.
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They also drafted Josh Downs to be the slot player and play the Parris Campbell role, hopefully with more success. My only question is, who will be the vertical threat that can maximize Richardson’s arm strength?
I do expect Richardson to take several games to get his feet wet and for his performances to be better over the second half of the 2023 season. That will be important for the fantasy playoffs when the Colts take on Atlanta, Las Vegas, and Houston to close the season. Last year, the Raiders and Falcons ranked 29th and 31st in pass defense DVOA while also finishing 24th and 32nd in pressure rate.
While Bijan Robinson remains the favorite to go off the board first to many, Richardson is the 1.01 in 2023 dynasty Superflex rookie drafts for me.
2) Bijan Robinson, RB, Atlanta Falcons
Bijan Robinson is the best running back prospect we’ve seen come out of college since Saquon Barkley and is as complete of a back as you could ask for in today’s game.
Robinson has a career average of 6.3 yards per carry, with 4.39 coming after contact, and in 2022, he had 104 missed tackles, which was miles ahead of the next closest RB on a per-game rate. He also sat No. 1 amongst 2023 eligible RBs at 2.34 YPTP (yards per team play) and rushed for 100+ yards in nine of 12 games while also averaging 2.11 YPRR (yards per route run) when split out.
The landing spot is great, too — not that it matters much. Last year, Atlanta RBs were No. 1 in yards, yards per carry, and rushing first downs. They were No. 2 in EPA/rush and No. 3 in success rate, first downs/rush, and TDs/rush. They were 31st in passing rate over expectation, and while Desmond Ridder should be an upgrade over Marcus Mariota, they are a run-first offense.
Throw in top-10 draft capital, and Robinson is the unquestioned RB1 for dynasty. He slid one spot behind Richardson for me in the overall Superflex rankings, but I won’t go after anyone sticking to the pre-draft thinking of “Bijan, no matter what.”
3) Bryce Young, QB, Carolina Panthers
As a pure passer, Bryce Young has a leg up on C.J. Stroud. But size is the issue for Young and why there are concerns about his fit in the NFL. He has a slim frame, standing 6’0″ and weighing 204 pounds after Thanksgiving. It’s the first thing you notice in videos or pictures of Young around his teammates.
However, his poise is as good as it gets. He’s calm when the pocket gets messy, shows vast maturity when going through his progression, and can excel both on and off-script inside and out of the pocket.
While Young doesn’t have the strongest arm in the class, he can make every throw, including corner hole shots and far hash to the numbers. I would just like this more if DJ Moore was still here. They drafted Jonathan Mingo to be the hopeful WR1 of the future, but we’ll see if he has that skill set. He will be able to learn from Adam Thielen and DJ Chark as he transitions to the NFL game.
Carolina did find themselves with a top-five WR SOS after the NFL release, which does bode well for Young’s dynasty upside in 2023. It should also be better in the second half. Not only will Young have games under his belt, but they have one of the easiest SOS from Week 9 onward, including a favorable playoff schedule of Atlanta, Green Bay, and Jacksonville.
4) Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Detroit Lions
Smooth is the best way to explain Jahmyr Gibbs‘ style, but in an instant, he can hit someone with an electric cut. Gibbs did measure in a bit smaller at 5’9″ and 199 pounds, but if anyone thought he was 210+, you might need a new prescription. He is not a grinder anyway, so I don’t see the concern.
What is not up for debate is Gibbs’ athleticism, with a 4.36 40 time and a 33.5″ vert. He’ll pull away from defenders and is a nightmare in open space. That more than translates, as he can maximize his per-touch upside, which will be massive in Detroit.
It’s clear Detroit loves him, and you can see it in the video from their draft room. NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero stated the Lions “would’ve been comfortable taking him at No. 6. Instead, Brad Holmes traded back with AZ, added draft capital (including No. 34), and got Gibbs at 12.”
Detroit has a top-three-ranked offensive line, and Gibbs has the upside to quickly become the RB3 in dynasty with Robinson and Breece Hall, especially with D’Andre Swift traded to the Philadelphia Eagles, leaving Gibbs to work with David Montgomery. I am all-in. Remember, Swift was fourth in fantasy points per touch last season, despite Jamaal Williams scoring 17 touchdowns, because he had 70 targets. Gibbs can get more out of each opportunity than he did.
Watch for Detroit to come out of the gates hot this year with favorable scoring matchups against the Chiefs, Seahawks, Packers, Falcons, Panthers, and Buccaneers to open the year.
Managers at the No. 4 spot will have to choose between Stroud and Gibbs for what best serves their needs. That’s not an easy decision, given the QB premium of Superflex formats, but Gibbs will quickly be viewed as a top-three dynasty RB with Breece Hall and Robinson.
5) C.J. Stroud, QB, Houston Texans
A 2021 Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year and two-time Heisman Trophy finalist, C.J. Stroud has an impressive blend of size, mobility, and instincts as a passer. Similar to Young, there’s not a throw he can’t make, and he showed significant growth from the start of his 2021 season all the way to today.
There are some instances in his footwork that need to be addressed. Additionally, Stroud seemed more impacted by pressure or dirty pockets than Young, and in the NFL, dealing with pressure needs to be second nature. At the same time, no QB is perfect coming in, and of the quarterbacks in this class, the “safest” to hit their median range of outcomes is Stroud, even though his ceiling is not the highest. But not every QB needs to be a top-six-ranked player, after all.
The talk of Houston not wanting him was pure B.S., and the draft capital proves it by taking him No. 2 overall and hoping they would be able to move back up to No. 3 for Will Anderson Jr.
That move, in particular, has me a bit concerned for Stroud as the Texans gave up their own 2024 first to get Anderson, not Cleveland’s, which projects to be much lower.
That takes away a shot for Houston to add a top-tier playmaker for Stroud, and they will need to rely on moves both in-season and in next year’s free agency to ensure Stroud has players who will help him grow as a passer. That being said, I can’t let him go any lower than No. 5 overall in my 2023 dynasty rookie rankings.
6) Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Seattle Seahawks
Recording 95 receptions, Jaxon Smith-Njigba set a Big Ten single-season record with 1,606 receiving yards. With Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave sitting out the postseason as they focused on the NFL Draft, Smith-Njigba set a Rose Bowl record in 2021 with 347 receiving yards on 15 receptions and was named MVP.
Smith-Njigba’s hands and route running are phenomenal. He’s an elite separator, has sensational body control, and is as smart as it gets with how he operates over the middle of the field against zone coverage. The only thing missing from his skill set is top-end speed (did not run at the Combine).
At the same time, JSN doesn’t get anywhere near the credit he deserves for his deceiving physicality and in-play intelligence, seemingly always flashing his numbers and working back to the QB when the play is extended.
While not my ideal landing spot, I don’t mind it enough to change his ranking amongst WRs. Seattle is very top-heavy at receiver with DK Metcalf and an aging Tyler Lockett, someone some have compared him to, along with former Seahawk Doug Baldwin. Seattle was very efficient last season, but it all comes down to Geno Smith and if he can duplicate his 2022 season.
JSN can be the perfect No. 3 in the slot and give Seattle arguably the best WR room in the league. There will be plenty of opportunities for Smith-Njigba when the Seahawks hit a tougher stretch where points will be needed against the 49ers twice (Weeks 12 and 14), Cowboys (Week 13), and Eagles (Week 15), followed by a very favorable playoff stretch of Tennessee (28th Pass DVOA), Pittsburgh (19th), and Arizona (21st).
7) Jordan Addison, WR, Minnesota Vikings
Jordan Addison is currently my No. 2 WR in this class. He suffered a leg injury against Utah and was seen on crutches, luckily avoiding a major injury. He returned to play in the final four games but saw varying usage, catching 59 of his 79 targets (74.7% catch rate) for 875 yards (2.78 YPRR, 7.0 YAC/R) with eight touchdowns.
Addison plucks the ball out of the sky and explodes to the high point. He’s a twitchy runner who’s also a serious threat after the catch. At 5’11” and roughly 173 pounds, Addison profiles similarly to DeVonta Smith and Tyler Lockett — route-running technicians who can generate YAC after manufactured touches and quick hitters. However, he lacks the play strength of Smith.
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While, as a prospect, I valued Flowers higher, Addison received the better landing spot despite going one pick behind him. Minnesota’s passing attack has been dynamic, with Kirk Cousins playing well and Justin Jefferson the top wide receiver in the league. Addison will fill the role vacated by Adam Thielen and step in as the No. 2 from Day 1.
Remember, Thielen saw 107 targets (28th), but, due to his age, he did very little, ranking 16th lowest in yards per route run while also finishing outside the top 50 in both points per route run and targets.
Those targets going to Addison could be a gold mine for fantasy. Though it must be said Cousins is going to be 35, and his play on the field could begin to drop off in the relatively soon future. But the talent and upside of Addison alone make him one of the most valuable players in 2023 Sueprflex rookie rankings.
8) Quentin Johnston, WR, Los Angeles Chargers
Quentin Johnston is your guy if you’re a fan of big-body wide receivers. At 6’3″ and 208 pounds, he has a size advantage over 99% of corners and uses every inch of his frame to high-point with the best of them. But for a guy his size, Johnston has a surprising level of burst and acceleration.
He’s also surprisingly agile out of inward routes like slants when he sells the outside move. That is when he is trying to give it full gas, as you can see in reps when he is not full throttle out of the blocks. Johnson is raw in areas, and for someone whose main trait is supposed to be that “go-up-and-get-it” guy, catching eight of 23 attempts in 2022 and having a career 40.7% contested-catch rate is concerning.
After the consensus seemed to shift that Johnston wouldn’t be a first-rounder, those rumors were proven incorrect as Los Angeles selected Johnston with the No. 21 overall pick. He joins Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, but the biggest part is OC Kellen Moore, who will bring a more vertically attacking scheme to LA that meshes not only with Justin Herbert but also Johnston.
Johnston will be fighting with Josh Palmer for targets in the beginning but could and should develop a larger role. But can we trust a TCU WR? Maybe the third time is the charm. However, be cautious of the Chargers’ schedule for a bit, primarily at the end of the season when they face New England, Denver (twice), Buffalo, and Kansas City in five of their final six games. That said, they will be high-scoring games, just difficult matchups.
Johnston, having seen how WRs in this class are being viewed, is the WR3 in 2023 dynasty rookie rankings but is a near toss-up to Zay Flowers, and I expect them to go right with each other in drafts.
9) Zay Flowers, WR, Baltimore Ravens
At 5’9″ and 182 pounds, Zay Flowers‘ catch radius will limit his ceiling (29 1/4″ arms), but he can work outside his frame thanks to his body control. Flowers fights on every play and could be a YAC monster out of the slot. His route running and play speed are sensational (4.42 40 time). But what makes him special is how he stays in DBs’ blindspots like a mirror match to Antonio Brown.
But when I saw him go to Baltimore, even though they locked up Lamar Jackson, I could only hang my head. This is a low-volume passing game, and Flowers, even if he can maximize his targets, will be impacted by the offensive scheme. This is a direct shot at Rashod Bateman, too, as he has yet to remain on the field due to injuries.
I want to love Flowers, but the fantasy upside I believed he showed has been noticeably muted, though he will be a great NFL receiver. Perhaps his skill set is so good he can prove me wrong.
If the change in OC to Todd Monken and the addition of more pass catchers are a sign of things to come, Baltimore could look to open up the offense a bit more. That would be the ideal scenario and would make sense. After all, the investments in personnel and in Lamar Jackson, plus a new OC, suggest a deviation from the previous seasons. I’d take just league-average passing output at this point. That said, Jackson has a career-high of 401 attempts (2019) which would have ranked 18th last season.
10) Kendre Miller, RB, New Orleans Saints
At 5’11” and 215 pounds, Kendre Miller hits all of the historical benchmarks for what size of RB works in the NFL. With that size comes natural power, which Miller has no issue handing out. That’s why he averages 3.61 yards after contact. In 13 games, Miller had 1,342 yards (16th) on 216 carries (6.2 ypc) with 17 touchdowns. The receiving work is nothing spectacular at 16 receptions for 116 yards in 2022, but he can catch the ball just fine.
Miller is incredibly light on his feet and has an arsenal of weapons, from jukes to spin moves or even the hurdle. His contact balance? Until he is down on the ground, he’s still a threat for additional yards. Together, they allow Miller to force a missed tackle on 31% of his runs (67).
Miller not only has the profile but received Day 2 draft capital (No. 71), joining the New Orleans Saints, who have Alvin Kamara facing a possible suspension, is declining in his efficiency, and has an out in his contract after this season, paving the way for a runaway RB1 role.
Sure, Jamaal Williams is there to take some goal-line carries away, and Miller might not be all-world in 2023. If Kamara is suspended, Miller is set to thrive, as no team has it easier to start the season. The first six matchups are against the Titans, Panthers, Packers, Buccaneers, Patriots, and Texans. They then get to face Jacksonville, Indianapolis, Chicago, and Minnesota before their Week 11 bye.
Given what happened to the rest of the RB class during the draft, mainly to Zach Charbonnet, Miller moved up one spot to RB3 in my rankings and is a first-rounder in Superflex drafts.
2023 Dynasty Superflex Rookie Rankings | 11-20
11) Will Levis, QB, Tennessee Titans
Will Levis just plummeted. Not only did he not go inside the top four, as some predicted, but he didn’t even go in the first round, finally being drafted at No. 33 with the Titans moving up to get him. Do I like his traits? Of course. He has a cannon of an arm, a big frame, and brings rushing upside too. Who wouldn’t love that? But the NFL is telling us they don’t view him as an elite prospect. Keeping him in the early part of the first round in my rankings would be simply take-lock and bad advice.
The issue is that he just hasn’t shown the level of consistency as a passer you’d need to move him any higher. What is almost more unsettling is his sheer lack of pocket awareness, even from front-side rushers where you’d expect Levis to know he has the hot guy. We’ll see how much Levis’ toe injury was the culprit to his mechanical and ball placement issues, but clearly, there is a lot going on here.
Levis is not going to start in Year 1 and never should have, in my opinion. The earliest one could say Levis has a “shot” would be Week 8 against Atlanta following the bye, but that feels too soon for Mike Vrable to make the move. But Ryan Tannehill is also not the stiffest of competition, and Levis currently projects as the Titans’ 2024 starting QB. I wouldn’t discount Levis seeing the field in 2023. I just don’t know when.
Hopefully, Tennessee can find some weapons along the way. Treylon Burks is not an alpha yet, and there are still questions as to how long Derrick Henry will be in town. Chigoziem Okonkwo is my breakout TE for 2023 and could be the No. 2 pass catcher as a TE.
If I get Levis in a draft, it’s going to be at a discount if he slides. I am not going to throw away any chance he can become the player some feel he can be, but the odds are most certainly against him.
But if I need a QB and the first three are gone, I’ll roll the dice as Levis won’t be back next time on the clock. Yet, at that point, I would just trade for Kenny Pickett and do what must be done to maneuver into the top of 2024 drafts for Caleb Williams or Drake Maye.
12) Jonathan Mingo, WR, Carolina Panthers
The Panthers clearly had a plan when they made their blockbuster trade before the draft. That plan was to select Young and find their replacement for DJ Moore. They drafted that player in Jonathan Mingo.
Although Mingo’s college production wasn’t elite, he can make plays all over the field. He’s a big target at 6’2″ and 215 pounds and plays like someone of that size. Mingo’s separation can be a bit inconsistent, but if you get the ball in his hands, he can be an electric playmaker. Mingo is also someone who saw a lot of manufactured touches, with screens accounting for 18% of his targets in 2022.
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Ole Miss has become a factory for receivers, with A.J. Brown, Metcalf, and Elijah Moore coming out in recent years. Can Mingo join that list? Yeah, I think he can. He’s in a perfect spot to join and learn from Thielen in his early years. Mingo’s the future (hopefully) No. 1 of the Panthers, and I’m going to draft him accordingly. Watch for him to be a difference-maker around the middle of the season and into the second half as he ascends to WR1 status in Carolina.
13) Zach Charbonnet, RB, Seattle Seahawks
Rushing 194 times, Zach Charbonnet averaged a whopping seven yards per carry for 1,358 yards (15th) with 14 touchdowns (T-14th). He’s a brutal assignment for a would-be tackler at 6’1″ and 220 pounds. He runs behind his pads and will lay the wood, averaging 4.15 yards after contact per attempt, with 26.8% of his attempts generating a missed tackle and over 22% of his carries going for 10+ yards.
Rounding out Charbonnet’s game is his receiving skill, as he caught 60 of 69 targets at UCLA for 501 yards. His testing numbers checked all the boxes and confirmed some as well — he’s a great athlete but not the quickest player on the field.
But this landing spot has me confused. Seattle? Really? I get Pete Carroll wants to establish the run, and some of Kenneth Walker III’s metrics weren’t great, but he was, for fantasy purposes, great. Walker III was the RB8 from Weeks 6 through 17 after Rashaad Penny was placed on IR and finished as the RB9 in points per game. Take away the two games he missed due to injury, and Walker averaged 16.4 PPR points per game.
Head coach Pete Carroll has already been noting Charbonnet’s skills to the media, especially his work as a pass catcher. If he can latch onto that role while keeping it away from seventh-rounder Kenny McIntosh, Charbonnet is the RB to roster in Seattle.
Even though these are two RBs who deserve 80%+ touch dominance, they will now sit in the 40% range. Seattle does have a top-10 SOS for running backs working in their favor, but the Week 12-15 stretch is brutal, as noted with JSN.
14) Devon Achane, RB, Miami Dolphins
While most of the running backs saw their values plummet compared to pre-draft rankings, there was one RB who received the dream landing spot, and that is Devon Achane to the Miami Dolphins.
Coming off the board as the No. 84 overall pick and RB5, Achane has to be an outlier if he is going to become a reliable fantasy asset. He’s 5’9″ and listed at 185 pounds. Since 1995, there have only been 10 instances where running backs who were sub-190 pounds ran for over 1,000 yards in a season. Of those times, five were by Warrick Dunn alone.
But Achane has world-class speed that can’t be denied. If in space, which this scheme will allow, he will be a chunk-play machine. Miami re-signed Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson Jr. this offseason on one-year deals, but I don’t see that stopping Achane from impacting right away, although Mike McDaniel was nearly “apologetic,” according to Mostert, about “the fact that we didn’t run enough, and that he was going to do his best to change that for the upcoming year.” That’s certainly going to help Mostert and Achane as well.
Achane is a leverage changer for Miami. If the Dolphins give him around 10 opportunities per game or hopefully more, Achane has starter upside for fantasy and could potentially be the next Dunn. He and Charbonnet are a coin flip, with one side being prototypical size but a poor landing spot vs. a perfect landing spot but an undersized RB needing to be an outlier. Achane could be better in Best Ball formats for the time being, but the upside is fantastic.
15) Jayden Reed, WR, Green Bay Packers
All Jayden Reed did was produce at a high level (given what the Michigan State offense would allow). Reed had three seasons of over 600 yards and five touchdowns and topped 1,000 yards in 2021 with 10 touchdowns. Reed had a career 2.18 YPRR with an 11.5 aDOT and saw a target come his way on nearly 25% of his passing down snaps (325 targets). Plus, he does that from all alignments, similar to Flowers’ positional versatility.
According to Matt Harmon’s Reception Perception, Reed posted a 70.3% success rate vs. man, 79.2% vs. zone, and an 87th percentile success rate vs. press at 77.8%. The guy averaged two car lengths of separation (don’t quote me on that).
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He fights through contact mid-route, tracks the ball well, and has three-level speed. Reed is 5’11” and 187 pounds of pure production. With a few more tweaks to his game, Reed has the makings of a great NFL receiver.
While Green Bay doesn’t have Aaron Rodgers anymore, Jordan Love could be better than expected and had some good moments, albeit in a very small sample size. Reed can step in from Day 1 and be the No. 2 alongside Christian Watson. It would not shock me if Reed had a more consistent season in 2023 than Watson for fantasy, which might surprise some managers.
If anything, I think fantasy managers are overvaluing Watson and undervaluing Reed. They are going to be far closer than some realize. Watch for Reed to be an integral piece of contending rosters with a Week 14-17 stretch against the Giants, Buccaneers, Panthers, and Vikings. Tampa Bay, Carolina, and Minnesota were in the top seven in most fantasy points allowed to opposing WRs in 2022.
I actually really liked this landing spot, and Reed received second-round draft capital, too. Dollar for dollar, Reed is one of the best WR values in the 2023 dynasty rookie rankings.
16) Roschon Johnson, RB, Chicago Bears
Roschon Johnson might be the monster in the shadows no one realized was there. If not for being behind the best rusher in the last three years, he would have been a starter at nearly every other college and a star prospect. I believe he will be in the NFL.
At 6’2″, 223 pounds, Johnson didn’t blow the doors of the NFL Combine, but he still tested well for his size, posting an 8.67 RAS with an elite 10-yard split of 1.54. Johnson’s 45% forced missed tackle rate over the last two years was No. 1 in the country (minimum 190 attempts). In 2022 alone, he averaged 4.28 yards per carry after contact, the eighth highest and ahead of Bijan. He never averaged fewer than 5.2 yards per carry, and 71.9% of his yards came after contact.
He’s also a plus receiver out of the backfield, catching 56-of-74 targets for 420 yards and three touchdowns. Not to mention, he’s one of the best pass-blocking running backs since Ezekiel Elliott was at Ohio State.
He received day two draft capital to a team that was 31st in passing rate over expectation, No. 1 in rush/game, 12th in EPA/rush, No. 2 in explosive run rate and had a top-five offensive line in ESPN’s run block win rate in 2022 that improved thanks to additions of Darnell Wright and Nate Davis.
As far as competition, it’s a 27-year-old D’Onta Foreman on a one-year deal and Khalil Herbert, who has no ties to this current regime. Both maxed out at 14 receptions over their careers and pose zero threat to Johnson in the passing game.
Even if this remains a committee which should be expected, Roschon, with a 60% workload plus dominance in the passing game (17% RB tgt share in 2023) by Week 6, is RB2 value. He was drafted to be the Bears starting running back, and I am going to do so accordingly by being aggressive in drafts. Johnson is my bet to be the best value at RB of this class for 2023.
17) Dalton Kincaid, TE, Buffalo Bills
Well, isn’t this a surprise? Dalton Kincaid was the most productive tight end in college before he sustained a back injury which ended his season after recording 70 receptions for 890 yards and eight touchdowns.
According to NFL Insider Albert Breer, “The Bills were said to be looking for a replacement for Cole Beasley in the slot. That’s where the connection to Josh Downs, who I believe they liked, was made. And the end answer here winds up being Dalton Kincaid, who’ll be a big slot receiver, essentially, for them.”
Uh, yes, please! Kincaid was never going to be an in-line TE. He was one of the best players in the country in the slot, receivers included. As expected for a tight end, Kincaid has a big frame at 6’3 1/2″ and 246 pounds with 10 1/4″ hands.
I don’t even necessarily view him as a Dawson Knox replacement but as more of a big slot receiver who, as a rookie, could become the No. 2 pass catcher for Josh Allen. That alone says enough, even if Knox is a bit frustrating in the red zone.
The Bills are choosing to fight fire with fire by adding Kincaid to a dynamic, passing-centric offense with Allen and Stefon Diggs. That said, they are kind of hosed when it comes to the schedule. Buffalo’s end-of-season schedule is brutal. After Week 11, Buffalo plays the Jets, Eagles, Chiefs, Cowboys, Chargers, Patriots, and Dolphins.
I did not see him going ahead of Michael Mayer, but needless to say, I am all-in on Buffalo’s new offensive weapon. If he does see slot work primarily, he is a top-10 TE as a rookie in PPR formats as a floor due to the potential target volume.
18) Jalin Hyatt, WR, New York Giants
The 2022 Biletnikoff Award winner, Jalin Hyatt dominated for Tennessee as the primary playmaker for QB Hendon Hooker. At 6’0″ and 176 pounds, he is a leverage changer, as Hyatt forces defenses to adjust when he is on the field. This was evident by his ridiculous 2022 season, where he recorded 15 touchdowns on 67 receptions for 1,267 yards.
Personally, there were several other teams I would have preferred to have seen Hyatt drafted to. At 6’0″ and 176 pounds, Hyatt forces defenses to adjust on the field due to his vertical speed. I would’ve loved seeing him with Los Angeles, but New York is a sneaky good fit for Hyatt.
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Hyatt will take the Darius Slayton role, which is more valuable than you might think. Last year, Slayton was 12th in deep targets, 15th in yards per target, and 10th in yards per reception. Those deep posts will now go to Hyatt, who will have a far better time maximizing the per-opportunity upside of those looks coming his way.
The Giants needed a legit No. 1 wide receiver. While I don’t know if that will be Hyatt when the dust settles, he’s likely a better route runner than being given credit for due to the option/choice scheme of Tennessee. With an aggressive Daniel Jones, plus Darren Waller drawing coverage, Hyatt is a solid value pick at this point in Superflex rookie rankings based on the upside.
19) Rashee Rice, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
For the most part, it feels as if fantasy managers learned their lesson from last year with Skyy Moore. I was expecting to see Rashee Rice get Day 2 draft capital, but I was not planning on it being the Chiefs.
Rice has been one of my favorite WRs of this class, which is not totally unsurprising given my fondness for SMU receivers. Reed is a rather polished receiver and posted great numbers for the Mustangs, rankings ninth in yards per route run while also drawing a target on 64.2% of his targets against zone, where he finished No. 1 in YPRR (min. 25 attempts).
He is not the most sudden WR, but he builds up his speed (4.51). However, his short-area separation and route running are right up there with some of the best in the class. At 6’1″ and 204 pounds, Rice brings good size to the Chiefs’ offense and a rather complete skill set (41″ vert, 1.49 10-yard split, 10’8″ broad).
It’s never smart to try to guarantee what will happen in Kansas City. Patrick Mahomes will spread the ball around, and there are several options available with Travis Kelce, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Moore, Kadarius Toney, Justin Watson, and even maybe Justyn Ross. Rice has the talent to take the JuJu Smith-Schuster role and be the No. 2 option. That’s an upside worth betting on in 2023 Supeflex rookie drafts.
20) Sam LaPorta, TE, Detroit Lions
Here’s another one I didn’t see coming, but I absolutely loved it. I also love it when a team tells us the expectations for a player. Last year, the Lions traded away T.J. Hockenson to the Minnesota Vikings and received a second-round pick in return. That pick was used on Iowa tight end Sam LaPorta, who is a combination of Hockenson and Noah Fant. That’s really high praise.
Last year, Detroit tight ends accounted for 12 touchdowns, a franchise record, and the second most in the NFL behind only Kansas City. Of those, nine were to Brock Wright (4), Shane Zylstra (4), and James Mitchell (1). That is the kind of upside LaPorta will have in the NFL when he is ready. So not only is he an extremely athletic tight end stepping into a role that has already produced high-end fantasy talent, but LaPorta’s also on a team that is on an upswing.
However, I expect more in Year 2, which is typically the norm for first-year tight ends. But don’t be surprised if he is given a crash course and gets on the field early due to Jameson Williams’ six-game suspension. If there was one good thing with this year’s draft, it’s that it helped give us more useable TE talent, and LaPorta was one of the biggest risers in 2023 Superflex dynasty rookie rankings.
2023 Dynasty Superflex Rookie Rankings | 21-60
21) Tyjae Spears, RB, Tennessee Titans
22) Tank Bigsby, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars
23) Marvin Mims, WR, Denver Broncos
24) Michael Mayer, TE, Las Vegas Raiders
25) Cedric Tillman, WR, Cleveland Browns
26) Josh Downs, WR, Indianapolis Colts
27) Hendon Hooker, QB, Detroit Lions
28) Darnell Washington, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers
29) Chase Brown, RB, Cincinnati Bengals
30) Michael Wilson, WR, Arizona Cardinals
31) Charlie Jones, WR, Cincinnati Bengals
32) Nathaniel “Tank” Dell, WR, Houston Texans
33) Luke Schoonmaker, TE, Dallas Cowboys
34) Kayshon Boutte, WR, New England Patriots
35) Tyler Scott, WR, Chicago Bears
36) Eric Gray, RB, New York Giants
37) Luke Musgrave, TE, Green Bay Packers
38) Tucker Kraft, TE, Green Bay Packers
39) Evan Hull, RB, Indianapolis Colts
40) Israel Abanikanda, RB, New York Jets
41) Zach Evans, RB, Los Angeles Rams
42) Chris Rodriguez Jr., RB, Washington Commanders
43) Deuce Vaughn, RB, Dallas Cowboys
44) Xavier Hutchinson, WR, Houston Texans
45) DeWayne McBride, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
46) Kenny McIntosh, RB, Seattle Seahawks
47) Jake Haener, QB, New Orleans Saints
48) Brenton Strange, TE, Jacksonville Jaguars
49) Tre Tucker, WR, Las Vegas Raiders
50) Puka Nacua, WR, Los Angeles Rams
51) Zack Kuntz, TE, New York Jets
52) A.T. Perry, WR, New Orleans Saints
53) Parker Washington, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars
54) Elijah Higgins, TE, Miami Dolphins
55) Trey Palmer, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
56) Stetson Bennett, QB, Los Angeles Rams
57) Aiden O’Connell, QB, Las Vegas Raiders
58) Sean Tucker, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
59) Will Mallory, TE, Indianapolis Colts
60) Dorian Thompson-Robinson, QB, Cleveland Browns