Jalen Hurts and Tua Tagovailoa surge, Tom Brady fails to impress in latest 2022 NFL MVP betting odds

With Week 2 of the 2022 NFL season complete, Tua Tagovailoa and Jalen Hurts see their NFL MVP stocks rise while Tom Brady's falls.

Week 2 of the 2022 NFL season came to an exciting finish with two Monday Night Football contests. After each week’s slate of games wraps up, we’ll be updating you weekly on the best NFL MVP betting odds. With that, we’ll highlight the biggest risers and fallers for you to consider betting on.

NFL MVP Week 2 Risers

Winning the MVP award is difficult because of the number of factors involved. The best candidates have the right blend of narrative for the public to embrace their MVP campaign, the statistical achievements needed to win, and team success. It’s critical for any serious candidate to have all three criteria met. Let’s dive into Week 2’s most notable risers.

Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles (+800)

After starting the season at +2400 and seeing his odds drop to +1600 last week, Jalen Hurts is officially the hottest player to start the 2022 NFL season through two weeks. The Eagles are sitting 2-0, and Hurts is coming off a defining prime-time performance against the Minnesota Vikings. He completed 26 of 31 attempts for 333 yards and one touchdown while adding 57 yards and two scores on the ground.

The Eagles blew out the Vikings in what was a highly-anticipated Monday night game. Hurts showed off better accuracy and control than what we’re used to seeing. His ability to play within himself and make timely plays with his arm and legs has made him one of the most dangerous playmakers in the sport. He’s a legitimate MVP candidate and no longer a dark horse.

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His completion rate is up to 69.8% and is averaging almost 80 passing yards per game than last year. Hurts needs to see his passing touchdowns total rise considerably, as he only has one through two games. But he’s also producing 73.5 rushing yards a game with three scores on the ground to help make up for it.

Upcoming games against Washington, Jacksonville, and Arizona are likely to be favorable for him to continue his path of destruction. As the Eagles continue to look like Super Bowl threats in a weak NFC, Hurts can keep shining. It might be a little late to get action on Hurts as a great value, but he’s still a legitimate play here.

Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins (+2000)

Will Tua win the MVP award in 2022? It’s highly unlikely despite his incredible start to the season. Yes, his 469-yard, six-touchdown performance against Baltimore was a loud statement by him and this Dolphins offense but also the result of some fluky opportunities given by the Ravens defense. Tua certainly played well, but anyone expecting him to continue completing 71% of his passes and leading the NFL in yards and scores will be let down.

Still, it’s absolutely worth mentioning Tua as a major riser after he led a massive fourth-quarter comeback. Down 35-14 entering the final frame, Tagovailoa found Tyreek Hill twice on deep passes, and added in short touchdown passes to River Cracraft and Jaylen Waddle to give Miami the 42-38 victory.

Tagovailoa certainly looks more confident this season, even if he’s still making some bad throws that lead to turnovers. His scrambling outside of the pocket has improved and his overall mechanics look more reliable. Head coach Mike McDaniel has had to overcome a non-existent running game while protecting Tua with a mediocre offensive line, and the Dolphins have so far executed.

While I’ve already been in on Tua being the answer for Miami, bettors wanting to take his MVP odds should wait until after Week 3 against Buffalo to jump on his MVP bandwagon. Tagovailoa has struggled dearly against the Bills’ elite defense, averaging 193 yards per game and more interceptions than touchdowns in his three previous matchups.

If Tua plays well against the Bills, look for him to be on our list of risers once again and a more legitimate option moving forward.

Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens (+1200)

Even in a losing effort, Lamar Jackson was undeniably brilliant. Already with one MVP in his cabinet, Jackson has quickly shown to be in his top form this season. Jackson had the Ravens rolling through Miami until their defense collapsed and the Ravens’ running game went silent without J.K. Dobbins to rely on.

But that was no fault of Jackson, who completed 21 of 29 attempts for 318 yards and three scores. He added in 119 rushing yards and a score on only nine attempts. Through two games, Jackson is leading the NFL in touchdown percentage (10.2% of his throws) and yards per attempt.

Having a wide receiver finally show some creative ability to help Jackson with the heavy lifting is huge. Rashod Bateman has taken some of the stress off Jackson, and Dobbins’ eventual return will also bolster the offense. With the Ravens so far looking like the best AFC North team, taking Jackson to win the MVP and continuing his torrid pace as a passer and rusher is not at all a bad bet.

The biggest concern with Jackson’s MVP case is whether he’s being asked to do too much and whether that will wear him out as it did last season. Jackson is averaging a career-high in passing yards by 25 thus far. It’s good to see his rushing attempts per game down by four touches compared to his 2019 rate, but those ground totals are helpful for his MVP case.

NFL MVP Week 2 Sliders

Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2500)

At 45 years old and looking scarily thin in his face, maybe Tom Brady should’ve stayed retired if his early-season play was an indication of how this year will go. Brady’s been actually bad through two games, completing 59% of his throws and averaging 201 yards per game. Having injuries across his offensive line and wide receiver room only give so much of an excuse.

Brady’s MVP odds have dwindled considerably from +800 for good reason. Everything looks a tick-off with Brady. While that should improve once Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, and Julio Jones are healthy, it’s not as if Brady lit up the Saints in Week 1 when he had a healthier stable of talent around him. He’s totaled only 18 completions in each of the first two games.

The potential value with Brady is that Tampa has endured two bad performances and won both. They have arguably the best defense in the league and are the prohibitive favorite to win the NFC. All Brady needs to do is get back to being above average, and he has a shot at MVP.

I’m certainly fading Brady becoming a legitimate MVP contender despite the narrative being in his favor. His production hasn’t been near the level we’ve become accustomed to. That’s a major issue for voters.

Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos (+2000)

It’s not fair to pin even the majority of the Denver Broncos’ issues on Russell Wilson, but it’s fair to say he hasn’t been close to what was expected of him either. His 340 yards in Week 1 were not a total representative of his quality of play. Then, he turned in an embarrassing performance against Houston, with only 14 completions on 31 attempts for 219 yards, one touchdown, and an interception.

Losing Jerry Jeudy to injury certainly didn’t help his ability to connect with his playmakers but also not a big enough excuse to overlook his level of play. The offense has been disjointed. Head coach Nathaniel Hackett has been overmatched in his first two games, and Wilson hasn’t been able to overcome it yet.

Wilson’s odds dropped slightly after beating the Texans 16-9. With San Francisco, Las Vegas, and Indianapolis coming up, it’s a tough time to project a sudden breakout for Wilson. I’m completely out on his ability to win the MVP, as the Broncos are a major disappointment as a team and look overwhelmed through two games.

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