2022 dynasty rookie rankings | 11-20
11) Jahan Dotson, Washington Commanders (WR8)
Jahan Dotson is a highlight-reel kind of player. He’s a small (5’10 1/2″ and 178 pounds), athletic (4.43 40-yard dash), versatile, and reliable WR. His one-handed highlight catch against Ohio State was one of my favorite single plays of this draft class.
Dotson had a significant 30% target share in 2020, followed by 31% in 2021. Last year, Dotson posted a 91-1,182-12 receiving line on those targets while hauling in 91% of his catchable targets (second in the class) and dropping only two balls. He can be used as both a deeper threat or in the intermediate passing game, giving him versatility at the next level.
Unfortunately, the landing spot is a concern. This year, he’ll have to compete for targets with Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel, Antonio Gibson, and McKissic. That could all change in 2023 should McLaurin leave in free agency and a new QB if Carson Wentz falters. Bet on the talent of Dotson to show up eventually.
12) Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers (WR9)
We all have a type. For me, I love big guys who can move. No player watched their draft stock ascend quicker this offseason than Christian Watson. Not only was he the winner of the Senior Bowl, but he backed it up at the NFL Combine, measuring in at 6’4 1/8″ and 208 pounds with 10 1/8″ hands. Watson ran a 4.36 40-yard dash, had a top-five vertical jump at 38.5″, and posted a best-in-class broad jump at 136″.
He now will be targeted by Aaron Rodgers, the back-to-back MVP. For how long that will be, who knows, which is why he falls behind Pickens for me. His biggest target competition comes from Allen Lazard, Sammy Watkins, and Romeo Doubs. That’s it. At worst, Watson is the next Marquez Valdes-Scantling. His ceiling is astronomical if the upside comes to fruition.
13) Rachaad White, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (RB4)
Yes, the RB4 of the 2022 rookie class is No. 13 in my current rankings. I’m not going to force taking a running back just because of the position when there are so many great receivers.
I like Rachaad White, and I even like the landing spot as the No. 2 for the Buccaneers. However, he won’t take over the RB1 spot after Leonard Fournette just signed a three-year, $21 million contract in the offseason. But if Tampa decided to move to a two-back scheme, White’s value would noticeably rise.
White rushed for 1,000 yards and 15 touchdowns on 183 carries (5.5 ypc) this past season. Adding to his résumé, he caught 43 of 48 targets for 456 yards and another score. His 16% target share was the second-highest in the 2022 class. Accounting for 1.97 yards per team play in his two seasons, White was one of the more impactful RBs in the Pac-12.
White’s second gear is fantastic and gives him home-run speed once in the open field (4.48 40-yard dash). His contact balance is the only major concern I have for him. But given how I grade RBs, that’s a significant trait. White is also on the older side and will turn 24 during his rookie season. If he pops and has a big game, I would be willing to test the waters to trade him for a 2023 pick or a player you like.
14) Isaiah Spiller, Los Angeles Chargers (RB5)
The most decorated RB in Aggies history, Isaiah Spiller posted 541 attempts for 2,993 yards and 25 touchdowns, averaging 5.5 yards per carry. As a receiver, he hauled in 74 passes for 585 yards and a score in his three seasons.
Spiller’s feet are phenomenal for a bigger back (6’0 3/8″, 217 pounds). He shows patience, allows the gaps to develop, stays off the backs of his OL, and bursts through the hole — thanks in large part to his excellent vision. 217-pound running backs shouldn’t be able to move as he does in open space.
I’m perfectly fine with Round 4 draft capital for Spiller (No. 123), but what I love more is the landing spot. Strictly on film grading, he was my No. 2, but that has obviously changed. Listening to what is coming out from beat reporters and the Chargers themselves, Spiller is going to have a role from the start.
Not only that, but look at what the Chargers have done in the last two years. Their offensive line is one of the best in football after they addressed the right side with G Zion Johnson at No. 17 overall. Spiller can catch the ball, and when he subs in for Austin Ekeler, the playbook will remain wide open.
15) Dameon Pierce, Houston Texans (RB6)
Aside from the top two (Hall and Walker), Dameon Pierce might have the best chance to be a relevant RB in 2022. Joining a Texans backfield that includes Rex Burkhead, Marlon Mack, and Royce Freeman, Pierce has the toolset to make an impact quickly. With that said, I wouldn’t discount the chance Mack leads the team in rushes this season.
The second pick of the fourth round, Pierce was the seventh RB off the board — and he only went that late because of how Florida used — or should I say, misused –him.
Pierce has the film of a lead back. He personified efficiency as a senior, recording 13 touchdowns on just 100 carries (5.7 ypc). Pierce also showed receiving upside, hauling in 36 receptions in his last two seasons as a Gator.
A two-year starter, Pierce has all the contact balance and power in his leg drive to break tackles as a violent finisher at the next level. I’d bet money he will quickly be featured on Good Morning Football‘s “Angry Runs” segment. Pierce is not a glider or a cutter by any means, but if he’s effective, who cares?
16) David Bell, Cleveland Browns (WR10)
David Bell is this year’s version of Rashod Bateman — he’s good at everything, but he’s just not elite as an overall prospect. Bell has three seasons of high-level production, with 232 receptions, 2,946 yards, 21 TDs, and a three-year average of a 25.7% reception share, all while playing with Rondale Moore.
In his 29 games at Purdue, Bell had a per-game average of 11.6 targets, eight receptions, 101.2 yards, and 0.72 touchdowns. The knock on Bell is he tested poorly at the Combine, running a 4.65 40-yard dash with a 33″ vertical and a 118″ broad jump.
While the testing numbers underwhelm, the landing spot does not. Bell is set to become the No. 2 for the Browns alongside Amari Cooper. Deshaun Watson, last we saw, was a top-five talent in the NFL and fantasy. If that holds true, barring suspension for Watson, Bell could be a steal in the second round of 2022 dynasty rookie drafts.
17) Tyler Allgeier, Atlanta Falcons (RB7)
As I noted with Pierce, Tyler Allgeier will also have a great chance to be a factor in 2022. After a 1,300-total-yard season in 2020 (11 games), Allgeier put up silly numbers in 2021. He rushed 276 times for 1,606 yards (No. 3 in the nation) with an NCAA-best 23 touchdowns.
He even hauled in nearly 200 yards as a receiver and had the fourth-most receptions on the team (28). Accounting for 2.09 YPTP (yards per team play), Allgeier was one of the most efficient backs in the nation despite the majority of his work coming between the tackles and into the muck. That’s important, as he’ll likely keep the same role with the Falcons.
Atlanta struggled to establish the run last season. That was largely due to inefficiency and falling behind in games, which forced them to be more pass-heavy than anticipated. The added touches appeared to wear down Cordarrelle Patterson, pushing the roster’s depth to its limits. In the season’s final month, Patterson saw just 37 touches and averaged fewer than 30 rushing yards per game.
I don’t believe Allgeier will bring a substantial PPR ceiling, but following the release of Mike Davis, Allgeier could be in line for more passing work than some expect. Regardless, he’s on a direct path to lead the Falcons in the backfield in touches. Whether or not those are efficient remains to be seen.
18) Kenny Pickett, Pittsburgh Steelers (QB1)
While I believe Malik Willis has the highest upside, the NFL told us everything we need to know. Draft capital is everything for a quarterback. Not only did just a single QB go on Day 1, but only one went inside the first 73 picks.
Kenny Pickett is the heir apparent of the Pittsburgh Steelers and enters a competition with Mitch Trubisky for the starting role. He can make every throw and brings some rushing upside, which is pivotal for fantasy upside.
The Steelers have plenty of playmakers on offense, including his future top target in Pickens. Pickett is going No. 7 overall in 2022 dynasty rookie superflex drafts and should be the only QB to go in the first round.
19) Jalen Tolbert, Dallas Cowboys (WR11)
Jalen Tolbert is a big play waiting to happen on every target. A three-year starter, Tolbert really took over in his last two seasons at South Alabama. The 6’1 1/8″, 194-pound WR recorded 146 receptions for 2,560 yards and 16 touchdowns. He was responsible for 29.7% of the receptions and averaged 3.36 yards per team passing attempt.
Tolbert solidified his standing in 2022 dynasty rookie rankings at the NFL Combine with 10″ hands, a 76 3/8″ wingspan, a 4.49 40-yard dash, and a 36″ vertical jump. Since 2019, no FBS player had more receptions of 15 yards or more than Tolbert (77).
Dallas needed receiver help after trading away Cooper and losing Cedrick Wilson Jr. in free agency to the Miami Dolphins. With Michael Gallup recovering from a torn ACL, Tolbert is the field stretcher for Dak Prescott. He’ll be on the boom-or-bust side in all likelihood, but the landing spot and talent are worth investing in during Round 2.
20) Zamir White, Las Vegas Raiders (RB8)
Once we hit the second round, I’m betting on athletic profiles and what guys did on film. Zamir White is the perfect example of this, as his career is a bit of a “what if.” However, there are red flags.
For Zeus, it’s the two ACL tears he suffered early in his college career. He was able to come back from those. In 2020 and 2021, White rushed 304 times for 1,635 yards (5.3 ypc). In each of those seasons, he scored 11 touchdowns, ending his career with 25.
White is a power back (6’0″ and 214 pounds) with the speed (4.40 40-yard dash) to confidently hit the edge. The landing spot is intriguing. At first glance, you see Josh Jacobs (a 250+ touch kind of guy) and Kenyan Drake ahead of him. However, the Raiders have declined Jacobs’ fifth-year option, and Drake is in the final year of his contract.
I think White will get some run this season, especially if either veteran back gets banged up. Should he perform well, White could be looking at a significant role in 2023. Add in the firepower on this offense and his Round 4 draft capital, and White is a risk I’m willing to take.
How does the rest of the 2022 class rank?
21) Alec Pierce, Indianapolis Colts (WR12)
22) Wan’Dale Robinson, New York Giants (WR13)
23) Malik Willis, Tennessee Titans (QB2)
24) Trey McBride, Arizona Cardinals (TE1)
25) John Metchie III, Houston Texans (WR14)
26) Tyrion Davis-Price, San Francisco 49ers (RB9)
27) Tyquan Thornton, New England Patriots (WR15)
28) Brian Robinson Jr., Washington Commanders (RB10)
29) Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams (RB11)
30) Matt Corral, Carolina Panthers (QB3)
31) Desmond Ridder, Atlanta Falcons (QB4)
32) Khalil Shakir, Buffalo Bills (WR16)
33) Jelani Woods, Indianapolis Colts (TE2)
34) Calvin Austin III, Pittsburgh Steelers (WR17)
35) Kyle Philips, Tennessee Titans (WR18)
36) Erik Ezukanma, Miami Dolphins (WR19)
37) Velus Jones Jr., Chicago Bears (WR20)
38) Ty Chandler, Minnesota Vikings (RB12)
39) Greg Dulcich, Denver Broncos (TE3)
40) Danny Gray, San Francisco 49ers (WR21)
41) Pierre Strong Jr., New England Patriots (RB13)
42) Justyn Ross, Kansas City Chiefs (WR22)
43) Jerome Ford, Cleveland Browns (RB14)
44) Romeo Doubs, Green Bay Packers (WR23)
45) Sam Howell, Washington Commanders (QB5)
46) Hassan Haskins, Tennessee Titans (RB15)
47) Keaontay Ingram, Arizona Cardinals (RB16)
48) Jalen Nailor, Minnesota Vikings (WR24)
49) Snoop Conner, Jacksonville Jaguars (RB17)
50) Tyler Badie, Baltimore Ravens (RB18)
51) Jeremy Ruckert, New York Jets (TE4)
52) Cade Otton, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TE5)
53) Cole Turner, Washington Commanders (TE6)
54) Jashaun Corbin, New York Giants (RB19)
55) Bo Melton, Seattle Seahawks (WR25)
56) Kevin Harris, New England Patriots (RB20)
57) Daniel Bellinger, New York Giants (TE7)
58) Isaih Pacheco, Kansas City Chiefs (RB21)
59) Michael Woods II, Cleveland Browns (WR26)
60) Abram Smith, New Orleans Saints (RB22)